| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs Southern Illinois (6-5, 5-3) | W 49-28 | 5.67 | 3.97 | +1.71 | 86.88%
| +2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Western Michigan (4-8, 2-6) | L 21-52 | 4.99 | 6.79 | -1.80 | 11.78%
| +2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at #15 Illinois State (9-4, 5-3) | L 51-54 | 4.80 | 6.66 | -1.86 | 10.96%
| -2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Murray State (5-6, 4-4) | W 50-49 | 5.68 | 5.22 | +0.46 | 61.58%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 65-15 | 9.19 | 3.70 | +5.50 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at UT Martin (8-3, 6-2) | L 37-51 | 5.98 | 5.60 | +0.38 | 59.50%
| -5 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Jacksonville State (6-5, 5-3) | W 31-28 | 4.33 | 5.65 | -1.32 | 19.59%
| +3 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at #18 Eastern Kentucky (8-3, 6-2) | W 24-7 | 4.70 | 3.60 | +1.10 | 76.21%
| -3 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Tennessee Tech (3-8, 1-7) | W 31-24 | 6.48 | 3.91 | +2.57 | 95.46%
| +1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 39-20 | 5.88 | 3.11 | +2.77 | 96.32%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at #10 Central Arkansas (9-3, 6-1) | L 30-48 | 4.79 | 4.62 | +0.17 | 54.40%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at #19 South Dakota State (9-4, 6-3) | L 10-58 | 5.01 | 7.16 | -2.15 | 7.72%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 6-1 | 5.59 | 4.98 | +0.608 | 6.80-5.20 (+0.20) | -5 |