| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Austin Peay (9-3, 6-0) | W 49-23 | 5.84 | 4.44 | +1.40 | 81.89%
| +2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Northern Illinois (7-6, 5-3) | W 14-11 | 4.38 | 5.00 | -0.62 | 34.55%
| +3 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at #15 Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 3-3) | W 26-25 | 7.24 | 4.43 | +2.81 | 96.43%
| -3 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Missouri State (4-7, 3-5) | W 33-20 | 6.57 | 5.25 | +1.31 | 80.35%
| +1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Youngstown State (8-5, 5-3) | L 3-31 | 2.00 | 4.97 | -2.97 | 3.15%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Murray State (2-9, 1-7) | W 27-6 | 5.58 | 3.39 | +2.18 | 92.61%
| +2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs #1 South Dakota State (15-0, 8-0) | L 10-17 | 5.50 | 5.70 | -0.20 | 44.81%
| -1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Western Illinois (0-11, 0-8) | W 63-0 | 7.77 | 2.14 | +5.63 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs #12 South Dakota (10-3, 7-2) | L 7-14 | 4.61 | 3.56 | +1.05 | 75.04%
| -1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at #13 North Dakota State (11-4, 6-3) | L 10-34 | 3.75 | 7.02 | -3.27 | 2.79%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Indiana State (1-10, 1-7) | W 38-9 | 7.09 | 3.79 | +3.30 | 97.24%
| +2 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Nicholls (6-5, 6-0) | W 35-0 | | | | | |
| Dec 2December 2 | at Idaho (9-4, 6-2) | L 17-20 | 4.76 | 4.63 | +0.13 | 53.24%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 4-4 | 5.49 | 4.52 | +0.966 | 7.62-4.38 (+0.38) | +6 |