| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at Louisville (7-6, 5-2) | L 9-21 | 4.02 | 5.59 | -1.56 | 15.32%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Mississippi Valley State (1-10, 1-8) | W 39-0 | 6.80 | 3.87 | +2.93 | 96.78%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Tennessee State (5-6, 4-4) | W 58-27 | 7.35 | 5.35 | +2.00 | 90.74%
| -1 |
| Sep 22September 22 (Thu) | at UT Martin (5-6, 4-4) | L 26-48 | 6.30 | 6.13 | +0.18 | 54.42%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs #14 Jacksonville State (7-4, 6-2) | L 30-38 | 5.90 | 6.11 | -0.21 | 44.63%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Georgia State (3-8) | W 48-24 | 6.50 | 4.97 | +1.53 | 84.08%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 36-27 | 5.44 | 5.42 | +0.02 | 50.38%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 6-2) | L 33-34 | 7.11 | 5.57 | +1.55 | 84.41%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at #20 Tennessee Tech (7-4, 6-2) | W 38-37 | 4.95 | 6.43 | -1.48 | 16.67%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Austin Peay (3-8, 2-6) | W 56-24 | 6.39 | 4.04 | +2.34 | 93.98%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 35-34 | 5.61 | 6.00 | -0.39 | 40.13%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 5-3 | 6.04 | 5.45 | +0.590 | 6.72-4.28 (+0.28) | +2 |