| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Murray State (7-4, 5-3) | W 21-9 | 5.59 | 4.02 | +1.56 | 84.65%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 (Fri) | vs Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-24 | 5.69 | 6.49 | -0.80 | 30.28%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Kentucky (5-7, 2-6) | W 24-17 | 5.63 | 4.57 | +1.06 | 75.33%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Marshall (7-6, 5-3) | L 13-17 | 5.19 | 4.85 | +0.34 | 58.48%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at North Carolina (7-6, 3-5) | L 7-14 | 4.12 | 5.71 | -1.59 | 14.87%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Cincinnati (10-3, 5-2) | L 16-25 | 4.48 | 5.60 | -1.12 | 23.43%
| 0 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Fri) | vs Rutgers (9-4, 4-3) | W 16-14 | 5.94 | 4.87 | +1.07 | 75.50%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Syracuse (5-7, 1-6) | W 27-10 | 6.40 | 4.57 | +1.84 | 88.71%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at #24 West Virginia (10-3, 5-2) | W 38-35 | 6.22 | 7.27 | -1.05 | 24.82%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Pittsburgh (6-7, 4-3) | L 14-21 | 5.35 | 6.16 | -0.82 | 29.98%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Connecticut (5-7, 3-4) | W 34-20 | 4.77 | 4.94 | -0.17 | 45.70%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | at South Florida (5-7, 1-6) | W 34-24 | 5.45 | 4.88 | +0.57 | 64.18%
| +2 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Tue) | at NC State (8-5, 4-4) * | L 24-31 | 5.44 | 5.49 | -0.06 | 48.56%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-2 | 5.38 | 5.30 | +0.081 | 6.65-6.35 (+0.35) | +1 |