| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 6September 6 (Mon) | at #25 Ole Miss (10-3, 6-2) * | L 24-43 | 4.61 | 7.80 | -3.18 | 2.85%
| -2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | W 30-3 | 5.42 | 4.20 | +1.23 | 78.65%
| +3 |
| Sep 17September 17 (Fri) | vs UCF (9-4, 5-3) | W 42-35 | 6.59 | 6.50 | +0.09 | 52.32%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Florida State (5-7, 4-5) | W 31-23 | 4.81 | 6.04 | -1.24 | 21.14%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #24 Wake Forest (11-3, 7-3) | L 34-37 | 7.23 | 5.96 | +1.27 | 79.46%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Virginia (6-6, 4-5) | L 33-34 | 8.11 | 6.07 | +2.04 | 91.20%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Boston College (6-6, 2-6) | W 28-14 | 6.84 | 3.91 | +2.93 | 96.78%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at #25 NC State (9-3, 6-2) | L 13-28 | 6.20 | 6.02 | +0.18 | 54.63%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Clemson (10-3, 6-2) | L 24-30 | 5.67 | 5.23 | +0.44 | 61.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Syracuse (5-7, 2-6) | W 41-3 | 7.07 | 3.23 | +3.85 | 97.63%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 (Thu) | at Duke (3-9, 0-8) | W 62-22 | 11.58 | 5.73 | +5.85 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs #25 Kentucky (10-3, 5-3) | L 21-52 | 5.97 | 7.52 | -1.55 | 15.53%
| -1 |
| Dec 28December 28 (Tue) | vs Air Force (10-3, 6-2) * | L 28-31 | 6.76 | 6.49 | +0.27 | 56.83%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 4-4 | 6.57 | 5.81 | +0.757 | 8.08-4.92 (-2.08) | +4 |