| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 49-10 | 9.03 | 3.21 | +5.82 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at #1 Alabama (13-1, 8-1) | L 0-35 | 3.80 | 6.43 | -2.63 | 4.24%
| -4 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Kentucky (2-10, 0-8) | W 32-31 | 4.43 | 4.66 | -0.24 | 43.95%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Southern Mississippi (0-12, 0-8) | W 42-17 | 7.89 | 4.98 | +2.91 | 96.72%
| 0 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Arkansas State (10-3, 7-1) | W 26-13 | 5.35 | 4.19 | +1.16 | 77.40%
| +2 |
| Oct 11October 11 (Thu) | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 31-26 | 5.56 | 5.50 | +0.06 | 51.52%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Louisiana Monroe (8-5, 6-2) | L 42-43 | 5.83 | 6.02 | -0.18 | 45.30%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Florida International (3-9, 2-6) | W 14-6 | 4.82 | 5.15 | -0.33 | 41.58%
| +3 |
| Nov 1November 1 (Thu) | vs Middle Tennessee (8-4, 6-2) | L 29-34 | 6.95 | 5.10 | +1.85 | 88.86%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | L 28-37 | 4.80 | 4.73 | +0.07 | 51.67%
| -3 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | L 27-31 | 5.93 | 8.69 | -2.76 | 3.74%
| +3 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 25-24 | 6.47 | 4.60 | +1.87 | 89.10%
| -1 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Wed) | at Central Michigan (7-6, 4-4) * | L 21-24 | 5.84 | 6.05 | -0.21 | 44.73%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.93 | 5.33 | +0.599 | 7.39-5.61 (-0.39) | -1 |