| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Kentucky (2-10, 0-8) * | W 35-26 | 6.49 | 6.98 | -0.49 | 37.69%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Tennessee (5-7, 2-6) | L 20-52 | 5.61 | 5.97 | -0.35 | 41.03%
| -6 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at South Alabama (6-6, 4-3) | L 24-31 | 5.77 | 6.27 | -0.50 | 37.39%
| -2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Morgan State (5-7, 5-3) | W 58-17 | 8.65 | 5.11 | +3.53 | 97.33%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Navy (9-4) | W 19-7 | 5.64 | 3.18 | +2.46 | 94.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | at Louisiana Monroe (6-6, 4-3) | W 31-10 | 6.97 | 5.84 | +1.14 | 76.91%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Tue) | vs Louisiana (9-4, 5-2) | L 20-37 | 7.03 | 5.38 | +1.65 | 86.12%
| -3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Troy (6-6, 4-3) | L 26-32 | 5.98 | 6.30 | -0.32 | 41.79%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Georgia State (0-12, 0-7) | W 44-28 | 5.92 | 6.03 | -0.11 | 47.20%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Army (3-9) | W 21-17 | 5.22 | 5.98 | -0.76 | 31.18%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Texas State (6-6, 2-5) | W 38-7 | 6.06 | 2.20 | +3.86 | 97.65%
| +5 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 5-2) | W 34-31 | 6.25 | 4.41 | +1.84 | 88.74%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-4, 4-3 | 6.29 | 5.33 | +0.954 | 7.78-4.22 (+0.22) | -10 |