| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Sun) | vs #8 Miami (7-6, 4-4) * | W 33-17 | 4.55 | 4.96 | -0.40 | 39.84%
| +2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Southeastern Louisiana (4-7, 4-5) | W 31-0 | 6.09 | 3.34 | +2.75 | 96.24%
| +3 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at #7 Auburn (8-5, 3-5) | W 22-21 | 4.81 | 4.97 | -0.16 | 45.80%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Louisiana Tech (8-5, 5-3) | W 38-21 | 5.38 | 5.50 | -0.12 | 46.97%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Ole Miss (5-7, 1-7) | W 45-16 | 7.64 | 4.75 | +2.89 | 96.67%
| -1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at #22 Florida (10-3, 5-3) | L 19-27 | 4.95 | 5.51 | -0.56 | 35.98%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs #2 Georgia (11-3, 7-2) | W 36-16 | 5.86 | 5.03 | +0.83 | 70.36%
| +4 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs #22 Mississippi State (8-5, 4-4) | W 19-3 | 3.33 | 4.26 | -0.93 | 27.47%
| +3 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs #1 Alabama (14-1, 9-0) | L 0-29 | 3.27 | 7.29 | -4.02 | 1.90%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Arkansas (2-10, 0-8) | W 24-17 | 5.20 | 3.72 | +1.48 | 83.28%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Rice (2-11, 1-7) | W 42-10 | 8.00 | 3.41 | +4.59 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at #22 Texas A&M (9-4, 5-3) | L 72-74 | 5.51 | 4.87 | +0.64 | 65.93%
| 0 |
| Jan 1January 1 (Tue) | at UCF (12-1, 9-0) * | W 40-32 | 6.45 | 4.10 | +2.36 | 94.07%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 5-3 | 5.50 | 4.81 | +0.689 | 8.05-4.95 (+1.95) | +12 |