| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at South Alabama (3-9, 2-6) | W 30-26 | 5.71 | 4.67 | +1.05 | 75.04%
| +1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Southern (7-4, 6-2) | W 54-17 | 8.17 | 4.40 | +3.77 | 97.51%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at #6 LSU (10-3, 5-3) | L 21-38 | 5.50 | 5.38 | +0.12 | 52.99%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at North Texas (9-4, 5-3) | W 29-27 | 5.06 | 5.93 | -0.87 | 28.68%
| +2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs UAB (11-3, 8-1) | L 7-28 | 4.03 | 5.37 | -1.34 | 19.22%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at UT San Antonio (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-3 | 5.12 | 4.54 | +0.58 | 64.46%
| 0 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs UTEP (1-11, 1-7) | W 31-24 | 5.42 | 5.09 | +0.33 | 58.34%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 (Fri) | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | W 21-13 | 4.40 | 5.19 | -0.79 | 30.49%
| +2 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at #18 Mississippi State (8-5, 4-4) | L 3-45 | 3.78 | 8.19 | -4.41 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Rice (2-11, 1-7) | W 28-13 | 6.22 | 5.09 | +1.13 | 76.68%
| 0 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Southern Mississippi (6-5, 5-3) | L 20-21 | 4.71 | 4.38 | +0.34 | 58.50%
| +1 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Western Kentucky (3-9, 2-6) | L 15-30 | 5.00 | 3.89 | +1.11 | 76.30%
| 0 |
| Dec 22December 22 | vs Hawai'i (8-6, 5-3) * | W 31-14 | 6.51 | 3.42 | +3.08 | 97.05%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 5.39 | 5.04 | +0.344 | 7.35-5.65 (+0.65) | +3 |