| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs Troy (4-8, 3-5) | W 49-21 | 5.36 | 6.63 | -1.27 | 20.40%
| +2 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-3) | W 35-0 | 5.68 | 2.55 | +3.13 | 97.11%
| -1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Old Dominion (5-7, 3-5) | W 38-14 | 5.51 | 3.36 | +2.14 | 92.23%
| 0 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at South Alabama (5-7, 3-5) | W 63-13 | 8.62 | 4.23 | +4.39 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs Louisville (8-5, 5-3) | L 13-20 | 3.93 | 4.25 | -0.32 | 41.92%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Fri) | at Virginia Tech (7-6, 4-4) | L 13-28 | 4.15 | 5.51 | -1.35 | 18.90%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Wake Forest (3-9, 1-7) | W 35-17 | 7.33 | 3.99 | +3.34 | 97.26%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs #3 Clemson (14-1, 9-0) | L 41-56 | 5.72 | 7.79 | -2.07 | 8.54%
| 0 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at Boston College (3-9, 0-8) | W 24-8 | 5.85 | 4.01 | +1.84 | 88.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at #16 Florida State (10-3, 6-2) | L 17-34 | 3.71 | 6.39 | -2.67 | 4.07%
| +4 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs Syracuse (4-8, 2-6) | W 42-29 | 6.31 | 5.51 | +0.80 | 69.59%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs #14 North Carolina (11-3, 8-1) | L 34-45 | 5.78 | 7.68 | -1.91 | 10.40%
| +2 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Wed) | at Mississippi State (9-4, 4-4) * | L 28-51 | 5.37 | 7.39 | -2.02 | 9.02%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 3-5 | 5.63 | 5.51 | +0.126 | 6.58-6.42 (+0.42) | +9 |