| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at Eastern Michigan (1-11, 0-8) | W 38-34 | 5.66 | 5.35 | +0.31 | 57.77%
| +3 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Norfolk State (4-7, 4-4) | W 24-10 | 5.68 | 4.51 | +1.17 | 77.56%
| 0 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs NC State (7-6, 3-5) | L 14-38 | 3.36 | 5.51 | -2.14 | 7.76%
| 0 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Appalachian State (11-2, 7-1) | L 0-49 | 3.57 | 6.86 | -3.29 | 2.78%
| -3 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Marshall (10-3, 6-2) | L 7-27 | 3.56 | 4.32 | -0.76 | 31.33%
| -2 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs Charlotte (2-10, 0-8) | W 37-34 | 6.26 | 5.06 | +1.20 | 78.21%
| +1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Florida International (5-7, 3-5) | L 12-41 | 7.43 | 6.22 | +1.21 | 78.36%
| -2 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Western Kentucky (12-2, 9-0) | L 30-55 | 4.82 | 8.72 | -3.90 | 2.27%
| -1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at UT San Antonio (3-9, 3-5) | W 36-31 | 6.45 | 5.58 | +0.87 | 71.15%
| 0 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs UTEP (5-7, 3-5) | W 31-21 | 6.04 | 4.38 | +1.66 | 86.18%
| +2 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at Southern Mississippi (9-5, 7-2) | L 31-56 | 4.97 | 7.20 | -2.23 | 6.96%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 3-5) | L 31-33 | 4.92 | 4.85 | +0.07 | 51.77%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 5.34 | 5.67 | -0.326 | 5.52-6.48 (-0.52) | -1 |