| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at #23 Florida (11-2, 7-1) | L 14-27 | 4.14 | 5.79 | -1.65 | 13.86%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Idaho (1-11, 1-5) | W 21-13 | 6.02 | 6.17 | -0.16 | 46.01%
| 0 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Toledo (9-4, 6-2) | L 15-27 | 5.40 | 6.65 | -1.25 | 20.91%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Virginia Tech (7-6, 4-4) | L 0-37 | 3.91 | 5.50 | -1.59 | 14.89%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Rhode Island (0-11, 0-8) | W 48-8 | 7.37 | 3.17 | +4.20 | 98.97%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Akron (1-11, 0-8) | W 24-10 | 6.13 | 4.16 | +1.97 | 90.40%
| 0 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Miami (OH) (4-8, 3-5) | W 37-12 | 6.85 | 4.34 | +2.51 | 95.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at UMass (1-11, 1-7) | W 24-0 | 3.86 | 1.97 | +1.90 | 89.48%
| +3 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 24-3 | 5.74 | 3.49 | +2.25 | 93.23%
| +3 |
| Nov 7November 7 (Wed) | at Ohio (9-4, 4-4) | W 26-14 | 5.43 | 3.13 | +2.31 | 93.68%
| 0 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs #25 Kent State (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-31 | 5.84 | 7.20 | -1.36 | 18.73%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 (Fri) | vs Buffalo (4-8, 3-5) | W 21-7 | 4.31 | 3.28 | +1.02 | 74.51%
| -2 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Thu) | vs San José State (11-2, 5-1) * | L 20-29 | 4.03 | 5.76 | -1.73 | 12.79%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 5.31 | 4.68 | +0.626 | 7.63-5.37 (+0.37) | +4 |