| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Sun) | at #9 Louisville (12-1, 7-1) | L 7-49 | 4.63 | 8.66 | -4.03 | 1.86%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs North Texas (9-4, 6-2) | W 27-21 | 6.31 | 4.46 | +1.85 | 88.90%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Marshall (10-4, 7-2) | W 34-31 | 4.47 | 6.10 | -1.63 | 14.17%
| +4 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Austin Peay (0-12, 0-8) | W 38-0 | 7.16 | 4.66 | +2.50 | 95.06%
| -3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Akron (5-7, 4-4) | W 43-3 | 5.57 | 2.42 | +3.15 | 97.13%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Central Michigan (6-6, 5-3) | L 23-26 | 6.27 | 5.92 | +0.35 | 58.91%
| -3 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 56-28 | 8.16 | 7.12 | +1.04 | 74.98%
| +2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Miami (OH) (0-12, 0-8) | W 41-16 | 7.13 | 3.24 | +3.89 | 97.72%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 (Tue) | at Buffalo (8-5, 6-2) | L 3-30 | 3.24 | 6.48 | -3.24 | 2.81%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 (Tue) | at Bowling Green (10-4, 8-1) | L 0-49 | 2.77 | 7.54 | -4.77 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 (Tue) | vs Kent State (4-8, 3-5) | L 13-44 | 3.24 | 7.26 | -4.02 | 1.92%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs UMass (1-11, 1-7) | W 51-23 | 7.81 | 4.14 | +3.67 | 97.41%
| +1 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Mon) | at East Carolina (10-3, 6-2) * | L 20-37 | 5.37 | 6.53 | -1.16 | 22.65%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.56 | 5.75 | -0.194 | 6.54-6.46 (+0.46) | -2 |