| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | L 54-56 | 6.50 | 5.57 | +0.92 | 72.37%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Kansas (2-10, 1-8) | W 37-21 | 5.33 | 5.27 | +0.06 | 51.52%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #15 Tennessee (9-4, 4-4) | L 19-28 | 4.18 | 5.86 | -1.67 | 13.62%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Gardner-Webb (5-6, 3-2) | W 37-21 | 6.40 | 5.86 | +0.53 | 63.32%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Miami (OH) (6-7, 6-2) | W 17-7 | 2.94 | 3.61 | -0.67 | 33.47%
| +3 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Bowling Green (4-8, 3-5) | W 30-24 | 5.85 | 4.77 | +1.08 | 75.77%
| +3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Eastern Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | L 20-27 | 5.69 | 6.13 | -0.44 | 38.87%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Kent State (3-9, 2-6) | W 14-10 | 6.09 | 3.39 | +2.71 | 96.07%
| -3 |
| Oct 27October 27 (Thu) | at Toledo (9-4, 6-2) | W 31-26 | 7.31 | 7.47 | -0.15 | 46.11%
| +1 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Thu) | vs Buffalo (2-10, 1-7) | W 34-10 | 6.08 | 5.30 | +0.79 | 69.29%
| +2 |
| Nov 15November 15 (Tue) | at Central Michigan (6-7, 3-5) | L 20-27 | 4.96 | 4.54 | +0.42 | 60.52%
| -3 |
| Nov 22November 22 (Tue) | vs Akron (5-7, 3-5) | W 9-3 | 4.90 | 3.83 | +1.07 | 75.53%
| -1 |
| Dec 2December 2 (Fri) | vs #17 Western Michigan (13-1, 9-0) * | L 23-29 | 4.74 | 5.39 | -0.65 | 33.82%
| -1 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Fri) | at Troy (10-3, 6-2) * | L 23-28 | 5.10 | 4.47 | +0.63 | 65.69%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 6-3 | 5.47 | 5.13 | +0.345 | 7.96-6.04 (+0.04) | +1 |