| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 57-17 | 8.94 | 4.03 | +4.90 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #2 Clemson (14-1, 8-1) | L 24-30 | 4.95 | 4.87 | +0.08 | 51.97%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | W 37-31 | 4.01 | 5.20 | -1.18 | 22.13%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 52-6 | 6.31 | 6.20 | +0.11 | 52.83%
| +5 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Idaho (9-4, 6-2) | W 34-13 | 7.07 | 3.64 | +3.42 | 97.29%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Georgia State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-21 | 4.60 | 5.50 | -0.91 | 28.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Thu) | at South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) | W 28-21 | 7.31 | 5.76 | +1.55 | 84.47%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs UMass (2-10) | W 52-31 | 6.30 | 5.00 | +1.30 | 80.05%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Appalachian State (10-3, 7-1) | W 28-24 | 5.54 | 5.06 | +0.48 | 62.03%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Thu) | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 7-1) | L 3-35 | 4.16 | 5.04 | -0.88 | 28.55%
| -5 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | W 40-7 | 4.95 | 3.77 | +1.18 | 77.84%
| +2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Georgia Southern (5-7, 4-4) | L 24-28 | 5.21 | 6.24 | -1.03 | 25.38%
| +1 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Fri) | vs Ohio (8-6, 6-3) * | W 28-23 | 4.47 | 5.10 | -0.63 | 34.28%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 6-2 | 5.72 | 5.05 | +0.668 | 7.45-5.55 (+2.55) | +10 |