| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #17 Iowa (8-5, 6-3) | L 21-45 | 6.06 | 8.08 | -2.02 | 9.01%
| -3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Eastern Illinois (6-5, 4-4) | L 17-21 | 6.11 | 4.45 | +1.66 | 86.16%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Western Kentucky (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-31 | 5.37 | 6.12 | -0.75 | 31.41%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Cincinnati (4-8, 1-7) | L 20-27 | 5.80 | 5.30 | +0.50 | 62.45%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Ohio (8-6, 6-3) | L 7-17 | 3.61 | 2.94 | +0.67 | 66.50%
| -3 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Akron (5-7, 3-5) | L 13-35 | 4.19 | 4.67 | -0.48 | 37.97%
| -3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Kent State (3-9, 2-6) | W 18-14 | 4.48 | 4.19 | +0.29 | 57.30%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Bowling Green (4-8, 3-5) | W 40-26 | 5.30 | 6.19 | -0.90 | 28.15%
| +3 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Eastern Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | W 28-15 | 6.14 | 5.82 | +0.31 | 57.91%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 (Fri) | vs Central Michigan (6-7, 3-5) | W 37-17 | 7.03 | 5.31 | +1.72 | 87.14%
| +2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Buffalo (2-10, 1-7) | W 35-24 | 5.83 | 4.42 | +1.41 | 82.11%
| +1 |
| Nov 22November 22 (Tue) | vs Ball State (4-8, 1-7) | W 21-20 | 7.37 | 5.88 | +1.49 | 83.44%
| +1 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Mon) | at Mississippi State (6-7, 3-5) * | L 16-17 | 6.56 | 5.58 | +0.98 | 73.55%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 6-2 | 5.67 | 5.24 | +0.425 | 7.63-5.37 (-1.63) | +1 |