| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Abilene Christian (2-9, 2-7) | W 37-21 | 7.53 | 5.63 | +1.90 | 89.52%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Georgia State (3-9, 2-6) | W 48-14 | 5.77 | 4.12 | +1.65 | 86.05%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Utah State (3-9, 1-7) | W 27-20 | 5.02 | 5.18 | -0.16 | 45.93%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Navy (9-5, 7-2) | W 28-14 | 6.32 | 4.59 | +1.73 | 87.23%
| +2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Wyoming (8-6, 6-3) | L 26-35 | 5.81 | 4.83 | +0.98 | 73.68%
| -3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs New Mexico (9-4, 6-2) * | L 40-45 | 7.27 | 7.03 | +0.24 | 56.12%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Hawai'i (7-7, 4-4) | L 27-34 | 4.26 | 6.14 | -1.88 | 10.68%
| -1 |
| Oct 28October 28 (Fri) | at Fresno State (1-11, 0-8) | W 31-21 | 5.17 | 5.13 | +0.04 | 50.96%
| +3 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Army (8-5) | W 31-12 | 7.28 | 4.07 | +3.21 | 97.18%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Colorado State (7-6, 5-3) | W 49-46 | 7.03 | 8.73 | -1.71 | 13.07%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at San José State (4-8, 3-5) | W 41-38 | 7.01 | 5.86 | +1.16 | 77.26%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | vs #19 Boise State (10-3, 6-2) | W 27-20 | 4.33 | 7.84 | -3.52 | 2.69%
| 0 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Fri) | vs South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) * | W 45-21 | 6.30 | 6.66 | -0.36 | 40.94%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 5-3 | 6.02 | 5.81 | +0.206 | 7.31-5.69 (+2.69) | +6 |