| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Northern Illinois (5-7, 5-3) | W 40-34 | 5.74 | 6.08 | -0.34 | 41.45%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Nebraska (9-4, 6-3) | L 17-52 | 5.08 | 7.05 | -1.97 | 9.59%
| -5 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs UC Davis (3-8, 2-6) | W 45-22 | 7.49 | 4.46 | +3.03 | 96.97%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 (Fri) | at Eastern Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | L 24-27 | 4.67 | 6.17 | -1.50 | 16.32%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Colorado State (7-6, 5-3) | W 38-17 | 6.48 | 6.41 | +0.06 | 51.61%
| +2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Air Force (10-3, 5-3) | W 35-26 | 4.83 | 5.81 | -0.98 | 26.29%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Nevada (5-7, 3-5) | W 42-34 | 7.71 | 5.91 | +1.80 | 88.23%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs #13 Boise State (10-3, 6-2) | W 30-28 | 6.11 | 7.73 | -1.62 | 14.43%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Utah State (3-9, 1-7) | W 52-28 | 7.33 | 6.00 | +1.33 | 80.70%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at UNLV (4-8, 3-5) | L 66-69 | 7.35 | 6.73 | +0.62 | 65.33%
| -3 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs #24 San Diego State (11-3, 7-2) | W 34-33 | 5.80 | 6.71 | -0.91 | 27.91%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at New Mexico (9-4, 6-2) | L 35-56 | 6.15 | 13.53 | -7.38 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs San Diego State (11-3, 7-2) | L 24-27 | 5.53 | 4.96 | +0.58 | 64.40%
| 0 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Wed) | vs BYU (9-4) * | L 21-24 | 4.53 | 6.24 | -1.72 | 12.96%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 6-3 | 6.03 | 6.59 | -0.565 | 5.96-8.04 (+2.04) | +3 |