| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Fri) | vs Ball State (4-8, 1-7) | L 21-31 | 4.19 | 5.62 | -1.43 | 17.49%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Air Force (10-3, 5-3) | L 14-48 | 4.12 | 5.77 | -1.65 | 13.94%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #9 Wisconsin (11-3, 7-3) | L 17-23 | 5.59 | 5.06 | +0.53 | 63.23%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Appalachian State (10-3, 7-1) | L 3-17 | 3.49 | 4.95 | -1.45 | 17.15%
| -3 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | W 41-21 | 6.96 | 4.77 | +2.19 | 92.67%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Troy (10-3, 6-2) | L 21-31 | 5.50 | 4.60 | +0.91 | 71.97%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | W 31-6 | 5.18 | 4.51 | +0.67 | 66.71%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) | L 10-13 | 4.14 | 4.37 | -0.23 | 44.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Thu) | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 7-1) | L 16-31 | 4.30 | 4.01 | +0.29 | 57.21%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | L 23-37 | 8.29 | 5.38 | +2.91 | 96.72%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Georgia Southern (5-7, 4-4) | W 30-24 | 5.92 | 5.04 | +0.88 | 71.47%
| +2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Idaho (9-4, 6-2) | L 12-37 | 5.87 | 4.42 | +1.45 | 82.85%
| -6 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.31 | 4.91 | +0.400 | 6.95-5.05 (-3.95) | -5 |