| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at #5 Oregon (12-1, 8-1) | L 34-57 | 6.54 | 6.30 | +0.24 | 56.09%
| -2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Memphis (4-8, 4-4) | W 33-28 | 6.32 | 5.23 | +1.08 | 75.81%
| -1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at #24 Nebraska (10-4, 7-2) | L 13-42 | 4.15 | 7.22 | -3.07 | 2.97%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Alcorn State (4-7, 4-5) | W 56-0 | 8.81 | 2.17 | +6.64 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Western Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) | L 13-26 | 4.19 | 5.35 | -1.16 | 22.57%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Thu) | at Florida International (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-20 | 7.02 | 4.32 | +2.70 | 96.05%
| +2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs South Alabama (2-11, 1-7) | W 36-29 | 5.36 | 4.24 | +1.12 | 76.49%
| -2 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Tue) | at Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | W 50-27 | 6.49 | 7.03 | -0.54 | 36.54%
| +5 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 37-19 | 7.29 | 5.06 | +2.23 | 93.04%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 (Thu) | vs Louisiana Monroe (8-5, 6-2) | W 45-23 | 7.85 | 5.41 | +2.44 | 94.67%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 41-34 | 7.17 | 7.30 | -0.13 | 46.75%
| 0 |
| Dec 1December 1 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-4, 6-2) | W 45-0 | 7.53 | 3.69 | +3.84 | 97.61%
| +2 |
| Jan 6January 6 (Sun) | vs Kent State (11-3, 8-1) * | W 17-13 | 4.19 | 5.07 | -0.88 | 28.52%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 7-1 | 6.37 | 5.32 | +1.057 | 8.27-4.73 (+1.73) | +9 |