| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (2-9, 2-7) | W 62-11 | 9.60 | 2.98 | +6.62 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Auburn (12-2, 8-1) | L 9-38 | 5.28 | 6.78 | -1.51 | 16.21%
| 0 |
| Sep 12September 12 (Thu) | vs Troy (6-6, 4-3) | W 41-34 | 6.91 | 6.46 | +0.45 | 61.22%
| +4 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Memphis (3-9, 1-7) | L 7-31 | 3.64 | 7.11 | -3.47 | 2.70%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Missouri (12-2, 7-2) | L 19-41 | 4.94 | 8.53 | -3.59 | 2.65%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Idaho (1-11) | W 48-24 | 7.34 | 4.71 | +2.63 | 95.71%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Tue) | vs Louisiana (9-4, 5-2) | L 7-23 | 3.65 | 5.47 | -1.81 | 11.59%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at South Alabama (6-6, 4-3) | W 17-16 | 4.85 | 5.30 | -0.45 | 38.60%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Louisiana Monroe (6-6, 4-3) | W 42-14 | 6.10 | 5.05 | +1.05 | 75.15%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Texas State (6-6, 2-5) | W 38-21 | 5.65 | 5.84 | -0.19 | 45.21%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Georgia State (0-12, 0-7) | W 35-33 | 4.53 | 6.55 | -2.01 | 9.11%
| +2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Western Kentucky (8-4, 4-3) | L 31-34 | 4.41 | 6.25 | -1.84 | 11.25%
| +2 |
| Jan 5January 5 (Sun) | at Ball State (10-3, 7-1) * | W 23-20 | 5.09 | 4.37 | +0.72 | 67.74%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-2 | 5.60 | 5.78 | -0.182 | 5.37-7.63 (+2.63) | +6 |