| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs #23 Montana State (8-5, 6-3) | W 37-10 | 6.92 | 3.26 | +3.67 | 97.40%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Tennessee (7-6, 3-5) | L 19-34 | 4.24 | 5.00 | -0.76 | 31.35%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Miami (6-7, 3-5) | L 20-41 | 3.70 | 8.00 | -4.30 | 0.30%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Utah State (10-4, 6-2) | W 21-14 | 3.95 | 4.92 | -0.97 | 26.65%
| -3 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 28-14 | 6.58 | 4.83 | +1.74 | 87.40%
| -1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 52-10 | 7.45 | 3.69 | +3.76 | 97.50%
| 0 |
| Oct 21October 21 (Tue) | at Louisiana (9-4, 7-1) | L 40-55 | 7.83 | 7.14 | +0.69 | 67.11%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Idaho (1-10, 1-7) | W 44-28 | 5.74 | 5.83 | -0.09 | 47.67%
| +7 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs South Alabama (6-7, 5-3) | W 45-10 | 4.82 | 3.30 | +1.52 | 84.05%
| +4 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Appalachian State (7-5, 6-2) | L 32-37 | 5.32 | 6.46 | -1.14 | 23.09%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Thu) | at Texas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 27-45 | 5.13 | 7.11 | -1.98 | 9.50%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs New Mexico State (2-10, 1-7) | W 68-35 | 10.47 | 6.39 | +4.08 | 98.31%
| 0 |
| Jan 4January 4 (Sun) | vs Toledo (9-4, 7-1) * | L 44-63 | 7.43 | 6.76 | +0.67 | 66.50%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 6.05 | 5.62 | +0.433 | 7.37-5.63 (-0.37) | +6 |