| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (4-7, 3-6) | W 65-0 | 8.71 | 3.58 | +5.13 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Navy (8-5) | L 21-35 | 5.53 | 7.33 | -1.80 | 11.73%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Illinois (6-7, 3-5) | L 35-42 | 5.00 | 7.35 | -2.35 | 5.98%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Tulsa (2-10, 2-6) | W 37-34 | 5.11 | 4.52 | +0.59 | 64.73%
| +1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Idaho (1-10, 1-7) | W 35-30 | 8.18 | 4.98 | +3.19 | 97.17%
| -2 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Tue) | vs Louisiana (9-4, 7-1) | L 10-34 | 4.66 | 6.37 | -1.72 | 12.96%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 22-18 | 5.61 | 4.81 | +0.80 | 69.64%
| +1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at New Mexico State (2-10, 1-7) | W 37-29 | 5.89 | 6.39 | -0.50 | 37.46%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Georgia Southern (9-3, 8-0) | L 25-28 | 4.72 | 5.47 | -0.75 | 31.53%
| -2 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at South Alabama (6-7, 5-3) | L 20-24 | 4.83 | 6.00 | -1.17 | 22.49%
| +4 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Thu) | vs Arkansas State (7-6, 5-3) | W 45-27 | 7.11 | 5.13 | +1.98 | 90.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 54-31 | 8.09 | 6.97 | +1.12 | 76.55%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 6.06 | 5.69 | +0.364 | 6.21-5.79 (+0.79) | +7 |