| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at #8 USC (8-6, 6-4) | L 6-55 | 4.61 | 7.95 | -3.34 | 2.75%
| -4 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs #21 Missouri (5-7, 1-7) | L 20-27 | 2.89 | 4.06 | -1.16 | 22.56%
| 0 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs Missouri State (1-10, 0-8) | W 70-7 | 8.67 | 4.94 | +3.72 | 97.46%
| +2 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Toledo (10-2, 6-2) | L 7-37 | 3.54 | 4.87 | -1.32 | 19.43%
| -4 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs Idaho (4-8, 3-5) | W 49-35 | 6.68 | 4.76 | +1.92 | 89.76%
| +1 |
| Oct 13October 13 (Tue) | at South Alabama (5-7, 3-5) | W 49-31 | 4.86 | 4.65 | +0.21 | 55.38%
| +4 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Tue) | vs Louisiana (4-8, 3-5) | W 37-27 | 6.04 | 6.22 | -0.18 | 45.51%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Georgia State (6-7, 5-3) | W 48-34 | 6.42 | 6.55 | -0.13 | 46.76%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 (Thu) | at Appalachian State (11-2, 7-1) | W 40-27 | 6.71 | 7.05 | -0.33 | 41.61%
| +3 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Louisiana Monroe (2-11, 1-7) | W 59-21 | 5.46 | 3.36 | +2.10 | 91.84%
| +4 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at New Mexico State (3-9, 3-5) | W 52-28 | 6.80 | 6.58 | +0.22 | 55.61%
| +3 |
| Dec 5December 5 | vs Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 55-17 | 8.63 | 5.08 | +3.55 | 97.34%
| +2 |
| Dec 19December 19 | at Louisiana Tech (9-4, 6-2) * | L 28-47 | 4.75 | 9.28 | -4.53 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 8-0 | 5.86 | 5.76 | +0.103 | 6.66-6.34 (+2.34) | +8 |