| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs Southern (6-5, 6-3) | W 62-15 | 9.62 | 4.13 | +5.49 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 (Thu) | at Western Kentucky (12-2, 9-0) | L 38-41 | 7.25 | 8.13 | -0.88 | 28.66%
| -1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Kansas State (6-7, 3-6) | L 33-39 | 5.07 | 5.07 | 0.00 | 49.90%
| -1 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Florida International (5-7, 3-5) | W 27-17 | 6.38 | 4.60 | +1.78 | 87.96%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs Louisiana (4-8, 3-5) | W 43-14 | 6.29 | 5.17 | +1.12 | 76.59%
| +2 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at UT San Antonio (3-9, 3-5) | W 34-31 | 5.92 | 4.55 | +1.37 | 81.45%
| 0 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at Mississippi State (9-4, 4-4) | L 20-45 | 5.66 | 6.03 | -0.37 | 40.65%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Middle Tennessee (7-6, 6-2) | W 45-16 | 6.87 | 5.18 | +1.69 | 86.72%
| +3 |
| Oct 30October 30 (Fri) | at Rice (5-7, 3-5) | W 42-17 | 7.58 | 4.61 | +2.98 | 96.87%
| 0 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs North Texas (1-11, 1-7) | W 56-13 | 9.10 | 3.90 | +5.19 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at UTEP (5-7, 3-5) | W 17-15 | 6.14 | 4.90 | +1.24 | 78.93%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs Southern Mississippi (9-5, 7-2) | L 24-58 | 5.47 | 7.60 | -2.13 | 7.89%
| -6 |
| Dec 19December 19 | vs Arkansas State (9-4, 8-0) * | W 47-28 | 9.28 | 4.75 | +4.53 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 6.90 | 5.29 | +1.609 | 9.36-3.64 (-0.36) | +1 |