| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Fri) | at #13 Stanford (9-4, 6-3) | L 10-31 | 5.06 | 6.48 | -1.42 | 17.77%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Sacramento State (2-8, 1-6) | W 28-14 | 5.88 | 4.59 | +1.29 | 79.86%
| -2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs #23 Arizona State (7-6, 5-4) | W 28-21 | 5.37 | 5.46 | -0.10 | 47.49%
| -1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Eastern Michigan (7-6, 5-3) | W 23-20 | 5.93 | 5.38 | +0.55 | 63.81%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at #24 Boise State (10-3, 7-2) | W 19-13 | 4.53 | 2.86 | +1.66 | 86.25%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 (Fri) | vs Air Force (5-7, 3-5) | W 21-17 | 5.03 | 4.06 | +0.98 | 73.50%
| 0 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs San José State (1-11, 1-7) | W 16-13 | 5.05 | 4.16 | +0.90 | 71.79%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Nevada (8-5, 5-3) | L 24-28 | 5.92 | 4.50 | +1.42 | 82.30%
| -2 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 31-23 | 6.17 | 2.49 | +3.68 | 97.41%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs UNLV (4-8, 2-6) | L 24-27 | 5.26 | 6.51 | -1.25 | 20.84%
| 0 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Fresno State (12-2, 8-1) | L 14-23 | 5.88 | 5.82 | +0.05 | 51.36%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Hawai'i (8-6, 5-3) | L 30-31 | 6.00 | 7.37 | -1.37 | 18.58%
| +2 |
| Dec 19December 19 (Wed) | at Ohio (9-4, 6-2) * | L 0-27 | 4.71 | 6.79 | -2.09 | 8.34%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.46 | 5.10 | +0.364 | 7.19-5.81 (-0.19) | -2 |