| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Fri) | vs Portland State (4-7, 3-4) | W 72-19 | 10.10 | 4.52 | +5.58 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Vanderbilt (6-7, 3-5) | L 10-41 | 3.91 | 6.41 | -2.50 | 4.93%
| -2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs Oregon State (2-10, 1-8) | W 37-35 | 5.33 | 5.63 | -0.30 | 42.48%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Toledo (7-6, 5-3) | L 44-63 | 6.85 | 6.48 | +0.37 | 59.27%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Air Force (5-7, 3-5) | W 28-25 | 6.51 | 3.57 | +2.94 | 96.79%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Fresno State (12-2, 8-1) | L 3-21 | 3.80 | 5.21 | -1.41 | 17.90%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Boise State (10-3, 7-2) | L 27-31 | 5.48 | 6.49 | -1.01 | 25.72%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Hawai'i (8-6, 5-3) | W 40-22 | 7.18 | 5.08 | +2.10 | 91.77%
| -3 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs San Diego State (7-6, 4-4) | W 28-24 | 4.50 | 5.92 | -1.42 | 17.68%
| +2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Colorado State (3-9, 2-6) | W 49-10 | 8.71 | 3.56 | +5.15 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at San José State (1-11, 1-7) | W 21-12 | 5.86 | 3.77 | +2.09 | 91.67%
| -1 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at UNLV (4-8, 2-6) | L 29-34 | 6.44 | 5.60 | +0.84 | 70.56%
| -2 |
| Dec 29December 29 | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) * | W 16-13 | 3.85 | 5.37 | -1.51 | 16.10%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 6.00 | 5.25 | +0.749 | 7.35-5.65 (+0.65) | -5 |