| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs #22 Stony Brook (7-5, 5-3) | W 38-0 | 4.26 | 1.50 | +2.76 | 96.27%
| 0 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | L 26-33 | 5.41 | 7.61 | -2.20 | 7.19%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Utah State (11-2, 7-1) | L 32-42 | 4.40 | 7.89 | -3.49 | 2.70%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Nevada (8-5, 5-3) | L 25-28 | 3.57 | 6.51 | -2.94 | 3.22%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Navy (3-10, 2-6) | W 35-7 | 6.14 | 3.36 | +2.78 | 96.35%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 (Fri) | at San Diego State (7-6, 4-4) | L 17-21 | 4.06 | 5.03 | -0.98 | 26.47%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 (Fri) | at UNLV (4-8, 2-6) | W 41-35 | 9.08 | 5.63 | +3.45 | 97.30%
| -1 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Boise State (10-3, 7-2) | L 38-48 | 6.61 | 7.68 | -1.07 | 24.47%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Army (11-2) | L 14-17 | 5.65 | 4.47 | +1.18 | 77.76%
| -1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 42-24 | 8.53 | 5.65 | +2.89 | 96.66%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Wyoming (6-6, 4-4) | L 27-35 | 5.61 | 6.43 | -0.82 | 29.83%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 (Thu) | vs Colorado State (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-19 | 5.71 | 7.80 | -2.09 | 8.26%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 5.65 | 5.92 | -0.264 | 5.66-6.34 (-0.66) | -1 |