| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 38-27 | 7.28 | 5.13 | +2.15 | 92.26%
| -3 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs #11 Michigan State (7-6, 3-5) | L 7-41 | 4.08 | 6.35 | -2.26 | 6.67%
| -2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Iowa (4-8, 2-6) | W 32-31 | 5.71 | 8.11 | -2.40 | 5.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Northern Illinois (12-2, 9-0) | L 24-55 | 6.51 | 7.07 | -0.56 | 35.96%
| -2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Toledo (9-4, 6-2) | L 35-50 | 5.63 | 5.43 | +0.20 | 55.15%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 (Fri) | vs Navy (8-5) | L 13-31 | 5.02 | 5.10 | -0.07 | 48.12%
| 0 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Ball State (9-4, 6-2) | L 30-41 | 6.97 | 5.73 | +1.24 | 78.94%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Akron (1-11, 0-8) | W 35-14 | 6.44 | 6.00 | +0.43 | 60.92%
| +2 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs Western Michigan (4-8, 2-6) | L 31-42 | 7.44 | 8.14 | -0.70 | 32.63%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Eastern Michigan (2-10, 1-7) | W 34-31 | 6.50 | 6.09 | +0.41 | 60.35%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Miami (OH) (4-8, 3-5) | W 30-16 | 6.54 | 5.43 | +1.12 | 76.49%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 (Fri) | at UMass (1-11, 1-7) | W 42-21 | 5.64 | 4.40 | +1.24 | 78.86%
| +3 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Wed) | vs Western Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) * | W 24-21 | 6.05 | 5.84 | +0.21 | 55.23%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 6.19 | 6.02 | +0.165 | 6.87-6.13 (+0.13) | +2 |