| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at #7 Florida State (12-2, 8-1) | L 3-69 | 2.23 | 7.87 | -5.64 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs #25 Central Arkansas (9-3, 6-1) | L 20-42 | 5.54 | 5.88 | -0.34 | 41.42%
| -2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 28-23 | 4.03 | 5.44 | -1.41 | 17.82%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Eastern Illinois (7-5, 6-1) | L 49-50 | 5.22 | 5.68 | -0.46 | 38.38%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Tennessee Tech (3-8, 1-7) | W 70-35 | 7.49 | 5.99 | +1.50 | 83.65%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 52-14 | 7.63 | 4.98 | +2.65 | 95.83%
| 0 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs UT Martin (8-3, 6-2) | L 59-66 | 7.18 | 8.66 | -1.48 | 16.68%
| -2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Jacksonville State (6-5, 5-3) | L 35-38 | 5.17 | 4.88 | +0.29 | 57.32%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs #18 Tennessee State (8-3, 4-3) | W 49-28 | 7.71 | 4.78 | +2.93 | 96.77%
| +1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at #22 Eastern Kentucky (8-3, 6-2) | L 24-55 | 5.94 | 8.12 | -2.18 | 7.36%
| -2 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 42-35 | 6.73 | 6.10 | +0.63 | 65.53%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-4 | 5.85 | 6.18 | -0.326 | 5.21-5.79 (-0.21) | -4 |