| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs Morehead State (3-8, 2-6) | W 49-23 | 6.64 | 4.96 | +1.68 | 86.50%
| +1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Marshall (9-4, 6-2) | L 16-32 | 2.92 | 5.48 | -2.56 | 4.64%
| -1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Bowling Green (3-9, 2-6) | L 35-42 | 7.12 | 4.85 | +2.27 | 93.36%
| -2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 6-2) | W 23-14 | 4.47 | 4.31 | +0.16 | 54.13%
| +4 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs #8 Jacksonville State (9-4, 7-1) | L 7-56 | 2.45 | 7.49 | -5.04 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at UT Martin (2-9, 2-6) | W 35-34 | 3.84 | 5.00 | -1.16 | 22.58%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Murray State (5-6, 5-3) | L 6-34 | 4.23 | 5.88 | -1.64 | 14.02%
| -2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Eastern Illinois (3-8, 3-5) | W 31-23 | 5.95 | 6.21 | -0.25 | 43.56%
| +1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Austin Peay (5-6, 3-5) | W 17-13 | 4.87 | 4.28 | +0.59 | 64.60%
| +1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Robert Morris (2-9, 0-6) | W 40-39 | 4.62 | 5.39 | -0.78 | 30.90%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 37-6 | 5.13 | 3.20 | +1.92 | 89.82%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 5-2 | 4.82 | 5.24 | -0.413 | 5.04-5.96 (+1.96) | +7 |