| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Fri) | vs Eastern Kentucky (7-5, 2-2) | W 42-34 | 6.27 | 6.23 | +0.04 | 51.05%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | L 21-49 | 4.88 | 6.58 | -1.70 | 13.19%
| -5 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Arizona State (3-9, 2-7) | W 30-21 | 6.27 | 6.40 | -0.13 | 46.78%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Buffalo (7-6, 5-3) | L 31-50 | 6.54 | 5.93 | +0.61 | 65.21%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs UMass (1-11, 0-3) | W 20-13 | 5.06 | 3.86 | +1.20 | 78.07%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Western Michigan (5-7, 4-4) | W 45-23 | 5.90 | 3.93 | +1.97 | 90.32%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Northern Illinois (3-9, 2-6) | L 10-39 | 4.52 | 6.31 | -1.79 | 11.94%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Ball State (5-7, 3-5) | W 20-16 | 4.42 | 4.87 | -0.45 | 38.75%
| +3 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Toledo (9-5, 6-3) | L 24-27 | 3.15 | 6.03 | -2.89 | 3.34%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 (Tue) | at Akron (2-10, 1-7) | W 34-28 | 5.31 | 5.59 | -0.29 | 42.73%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 (Wed) | at Kent State (5-7, 4-4) | W 31-24 | 5.46 | 5.58 | -0.11 | 47.09%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | vs Central Michigan (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-19 | 5.60 | 4.32 | +1.28 | 79.73%
| +3 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Tue) | at San José State (7-5, 5-3) * | W 41-27 | 5.87 | 7.01 | -1.14 | 23.01%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 5-3 | 5.31 | 5.61 | -0.299 | 5.91-7.09 (+3.09) | +1 |