| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs #18 Bethune-Cookman (9-3, 6-2) | L 12-14 | 2.86 | 3.98 | -1.12 | 23.39%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Wagner (7-4, 5-1) | W 34-3 | 5.54 | 3.59 | +1.95 | 90.15%
| -1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Pittsburgh (6-7, 4-4) | L 25-42 | 4.31 | 5.78 | -1.47 | 16.81%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Louisville (9-4, 5-3) | L 3-34 | 3.11 | 4.73 | -1.63 | 14.30%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at UAB (6-6, 4-4) | W 34-20 | 4.87 | 4.63 | +0.23 | 55.93%
| +6 |
| Oct 2October 2 (Thu) | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-10 | 4.93 | 5.32 | -0.39 | 40.13%
| +3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | L 13-16 | 3.55 | 4.75 | -1.20 | 21.86%
| -2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs #25 Marshall (13-1, 8-1) | L 13-45 | 4.53 | 8.62 | -4.09 | 1.62%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Rice (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-31 | 3.78 | 6.33 | -2.55 | 4.67%
| -2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Old Dominion (6-6, 4-4) | L 35-38 | 5.71 | 7.50 | -1.79 | 11.85%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Middle Tennessee (6-6, 5-3) | W 38-28 | 5.86 | 5.49 | +0.37 | 59.37%
| +4 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at North Texas (4-8, 2-6) | L 14-17 | 2.67 | 4.16 | -1.48 | 16.61%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 4.33 | 5.38 | -1.043 | 3.57-8.43 (+0.43) | +7 |