| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at #17 Notre Dame (8-5) | L 17-48 | 5.56 | 9.00 | -3.44 | 2.71%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at #7 Texas A&M (8-5, 3-5) | L 10-38 | 5.29 | 8.09 | -2.80 | 3.60%
| +1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Old Dominion (6-6, 4-4) | L 42-45 | 5.98 | 8.28 | -2.30 | 6.33%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 1-7) | W 41-23 | 5.64 | 4.68 | +0.96 | 73.21%
| +2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs Hawai'i (4-9, 3-5) | W 28-14 | 5.84 | 3.63 | +2.21 | 92.87%
| -1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Army (4-8) | W 41-21 | 6.31 | 5.02 | +1.29 | 79.92%
| +2 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs North Texas (4-8, 2-6) | W 41-21 | 5.85 | 3.22 | +2.62 | 95.71%
| +2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Florida International (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-17 | 6.33 | 3.78 | +2.55 | 95.33%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | W 17-7 | 4.92 | 4.67 | +0.24 | 56.16%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | at #21 Marshall (13-1, 8-1) | L 14-41 | 3.10 | 7.17 | -4.07 | 1.72%
| +2 |
| Nov 21November 21 (Fri) | vs UTEP (7-6, 5-3) | W 31-13 | 6.13 | 4.76 | +1.36 | 81.21%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Louisiana Tech (9-5, 7-2) | L 31-76 | 5.15 | 9.54 | -4.38 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Dec 24December 24 (Wed) | vs Fresno State (6-8, 5-4) * | W 30-6 | 7.02 | 3.19 | +3.83 | 97.59%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 5.62 | 5.74 | -0.117 | 6.86-6.14 (+1.14) | +8 |