| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at Houston (8-5, 5-3) | W 27-7 | 3.55 | 2.85 | +0.70 | 67.41%
| +5 |
| Sep 4September 4 (Thu) | vs Arizona (10-4, 7-3) | L 23-26 | 4.85 | 5.97 | -1.13 | 23.30%
| -1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at Oklahoma State (7-6, 4-5) | L 13-43 | 3.22 | 6.04 | -2.82 | 3.53%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | L 37-41 | 5.22 | 6.10 | -0.89 | 28.35%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs New Mexico (4-8, 2-6) | L 9-21 | 5.50 | 5.97 | -0.47 | 38.23%
| -2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Florida International (4-8, 3-5) | W 16-13 | 4.75 | 3.55 | +1.20 | 78.11%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Louisiana Tech (9-5, 7-2) | L 20-27 | 4.50 | 4.09 | +0.41 | 60.35%
| -3 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs UTEP (7-6, 5-3) | L 0-34 | 1.52 | 5.48 | -3.96 | 2.10%
| -2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Rice (8-5, 5-3) | L 7-17 | 4.67 | 4.92 | -0.24 | 43.80%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 (Thu) | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 1-7) | W 12-10 | 4.25 | 5.32 | -1.08 | 24.35%
| +2 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 4-4) | L 7-45 | 3.77 | 7.40 | -3.62 | 2.64%
| -2 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs North Texas (4-8, 2-6) | W 34-27 | 7.29 | 5.46 | +1.83 | 88.59%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 4.48 | 5.23 | -0.746 | 4.61-7.39 (-0.61) | -3 |