| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 26August 26 | at #6 USC (8-5, 5-4) | L 28-56 | 6.00 | 7.26 | -1.26 | 20.64%
| 0 |
| Sep 3September 3 (Sun) | vs #18 Oregon State (8-5, 5-4) | L 17-42 | 4.50 | 7.51 | -3.01 | 3.08%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Cal Poly (3-8, 1-7) | W 59-3 | 7.15 | 2.97 | +4.19 | 98.87%
| +3 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Toledo (11-3, 8-1) | L 17-21 | 3.78 | 5.44 | -1.67 | 13.69%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 (Fri) | vs Air Force (9-4, 5-3) | L 20-45 | 6.81 | 5.71 | +1.10 | 76.15%
| -1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Boise State (8-6, 7-2) | L 27-35 | 6.70 | 7.46 | -0.75 | 31.47%
| +2 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at New Mexico (4-8, 2-6) | W 52-24 | 10.84 | 5.92 | +4.91 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Utah State (6-7, 4-4) | W 42-21 | 5.21 | 4.26 | +0.95 | 73.02%
| +1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Hawai'i (5-8, 3-5) | W 35-0 | 6.59 | 3.47 | +3.12 | 97.09%
| +2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs #25 Fresno State (9-4, 4-4) | W 42-18 | 7.53 | 4.28 | +3.25 | 97.21%
| +2 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs San Diego State (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-13 | 7.26 | 4.62 | +2.64 | 95.79%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at UNLV (9-5, 6-3) | W 37-31 | 7.30 | 6.74 | +0.57 | 64.10%
| +1 |
| Dec 23December 23 | vs Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) * | L 14-24 | 6.80 | 4.69 | +2.11 | 91.86%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 6-2 | 6.51 | 5.44 | +1.069 | 8.63-4.37 (-1.63) | +11 |