| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at #10 Washington (14-0, 10-0) | L 19-56 | 5.36 | 9.31 | -3.95 | 2.13%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs UCF (6-7, 3-6) | L 16-18 | 5.82 | 8.15 | -2.34 | 6.08%
| +1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs #13 North Dakota (7-5, 5-3) | W 42-18 | 5.79 | 2.82 | +2.98 | 96.88%
| -1 |
| Sep 22September 22 (Fri) | at San Diego State (4-8, 2-6) | W 34-31 | 6.40 | 6.97 | -0.57 | 35.72%
| +2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Memphis (10-3, 6-2) | L 32-35 | 7.41 | 7.11 | +0.30 | 57.65%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs San José State (7-6, 6-2) | W 35-27 | 7.46 | 6.70 | +0.75 | 68.50%
| -2 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Colorado State (5-7, 3-5) | L 30-31 | 5.73 | 5.35 | +0.38 | 59.68%
| -2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Wyoming (9-4, 5-3) | W 32-7 | 6.24 | 2.49 | +3.75 | 97.48%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Fresno State (9-4, 4-4) | L 30-37 | 6.10 | 6.39 | -0.29 | 42.61%
| -1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs New Mexico (4-8, 2-6) | W 42-14 | 7.93 | 5.67 | +2.27 | 93.37%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Utah State (6-7, 4-4) | W 45-10 | 6.98 | 5.26 | +1.72 | 87.16%
| +4 |
| Nov 24November 24 (Fri) | vs Air Force (9-4, 5-3) | W 27-19 | 7.44 | 5.35 | +2.09 | 91.67%
| -1 |
| Dec 2December 2 | at UNLV (9-5, 6-3) | W 44-20 | 7.99 | 4.52 | +3.47 | 97.31%
| +1 |
| Dec 16December 16 | vs UCLA (8-5, 4-5) * | L 22-35 | 5.72 | 7.97 | -2.24 | 6.82%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 7-2 | 6.57 | 6.06 | +0.505 | 8.43-5.57 (-0.43) | -2 |