| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Robert Morris (4-7, 2-4) | W 42-7 | 8.96 | 3.37 | +5.59 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Sam Houston State (3-9, 2-6) * | W 13-3 | 4.16 | 1.82 | +2.34 | 93.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 15September 15 (Fri) | vs Utah State (6-7, 4-4) | W 39-21 | 6.29 | 4.95 | +1.34 | 80.88%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 (Fri) | at San José State (7-6, 6-2) | W 45-20 | 5.71 | 6.81 | -1.10 | 23.82%
| +1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs San Diego State (4-8, 2-6) | W 49-10 | 8.07 | 4.13 | +3.94 | 97.84%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Wyoming (9-4, 5-3) | W 34-27 | 6.68 | 5.35 | +1.33 | 80.59%
| -2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Navy (5-7, 4-4) | W 17-6 | 5.43 | 1.94 | +3.50 | 97.32%
| +1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Colorado State (5-7, 3-5) | W 30-13 | 4.58 | 5.30 | -0.72 | 32.23%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Army (6-6, 0-1) * | L 3-23 | 4.05 | 4.22 | -0.17 | 45.67%
| -6 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Hawai'i (5-8, 3-5) | L 13-27 | 5.63 | 5.12 | +0.50 | 62.62%
| -4 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs UNLV (9-5, 6-3) | L 27-31 | 5.77 | 7.66 | -1.88 | 10.66%
| +1 |
| Nov 24November 24 (Fri) | at Boise State (8-6, 7-2) | L 19-27 | 5.35 | 7.44 | -2.09 | 8.32%
| +1 |
| Dec 23December 23 | vs James Madison (11-2, 7-1) * | W 31-21 | 5.82 | 5.44 | +0.38 | 59.59%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 5-3 | 5.83 | 4.93 | +0.905 | 7.94-5.06 (+1.06) | -4 |