| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | W 29-27 | 5.39 | 5.81 | -0.42 | 39.40%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs UAB (7-6, 4-4) | W 21-14 | 6.00 | 6.12 | -0.12 | 46.91%
| +3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #19 Wake Forest (8-5, 3-5) | L 36-37 | 5.63 | 4.94 | +0.69 | 67.04%
| -2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Akron (2-10, 1-7) | W 21-12 | 4.75 | 4.01 | +0.74 | 68.26%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Old Dominion (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-24 | 7.13 | 5.19 | +1.95 | 90.10%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at UMass (1-11, 0-3) | W 42-24 | 6.29 | 4.09 | +2.20 | 92.81%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Gardner-Webb (7-6, 5-0) | W 21-20 | 5.16 | 4.17 | +1.00 | 73.97%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs BYU (8-5, 0-2) | W 41-14 | 7.10 | 5.16 | +1.94 | 90.06%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Arkansas (7-6, 3-5) | W 21-19 | 5.00 | 5.42 | -0.42 | 39.46%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Connecticut (6-7) | L 33-36 | 5.93 | 5.30 | +0.63 | 65.53%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Virginia Tech (3-8, 1-6) | L 22-23 | 5.27 | 4.10 | +1.17 | 77.52%
| -2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs New Mexico State (7-6, 2-0) | L 14-49 | 4.26 | 6.69 | -2.43 | 5.40%
| -2 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Tue) | at Toledo (9-5, 6-3) * | L 19-21 | 6.17 | 4.34 | +1.83 | 88.67%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 2-1 | 5.70 | 4.97 | +0.728 | 8.45-4.55 (-0.45) | -3 |