| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Fri) | vs Virginia Tech (3-8, 1-6) | W 20-17 | 3.60 | 4.53 | -0.93 | 27.44%
| +3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at East Carolina (8-5, 4-4) | L 21-39 | 6.74 | 6.17 | +0.57 | 64.21%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Virginia (3-7, 1-6) | L 14-16 | 4.70 | 6.26 | -1.56 | 15.34%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Arkansas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 29-26 | 5.79 | 4.87 | +0.92 | 72.38%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Liberty (8-5, 2-1) | L 24-38 | 5.19 | 7.13 | -1.95 | 9.89%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Coastal Carolina (9-4, 6-3) | W 49-21 | 10.94 | 5.68 | +5.26 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | L 23-28 | 7.09 | 5.39 | +1.70 | 86.84%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Georgia State (4-8, 3-5) | L 17-31 | 4.88 | 5.10 | -0.22 | 44.34%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Marshall (9-4, 5-3) | L 0-12 | 3.48 | 4.78 | -1.29 | 20.00%
| -2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs James Madison (8-3, 6-2) | L 3-37 | 4.13 | 6.73 | -2.60 | 4.42%
| -2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Appalachian State (6-6, 3-5) | L 14-27 | 6.06 | 7.91 | -1.84 | 11.19%
| -1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at South Alabama (10-3, 7-1) | L 20-27 | 6.25 | 5.10 | +1.14 | 77.02%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.60 | 5.75 | -0.143 | 5.33-6.67 (-2.33) | +1 |