| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs SMU (5-7, 4-4) | W 46-23 | 5.63 | 5.95 | -0.33 | 41.75%
| +1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Incarnate Word (6-5, 6-2) | W 58-16 | 6.67 | 4.93 | +1.74 | 87.34%
| +2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Arkansas (2-10, 0-8) | W 44-17 | 5.01 | 4.36 | +0.65 | 66.12%
| +5 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Liberty (6-6) | W 47-7 | 7.18 | 4.20 | +2.98 | 96.88%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Louisiana Tech (8-5, 5-3) | L 27-29 | 5.93 | 5.06 | +0.87 | 71.28%
| -2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at UTEP (1-11, 1-7) | W 27-24 | 6.34 | 6.84 | -0.49 | 37.62%
| +2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Southern Mississippi (6-5, 5-3) | W 30-7 | 6.44 | 5.10 | +1.34 | 80.81%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at UAB (11-3, 8-1) | L 21-29 | 6.35 | 5.60 | +0.75 | 68.44%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Rice (2-11, 1-7) | W 41-17 | 8.42 | 4.04 | +4.38 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Old Dominion (4-8, 2-6) | L 31-34 | 4.82 | 4.66 | +0.15 | 53.91%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 (Thu) | vs Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | W 41-38 | 7.10 | 5.96 | +1.13 | 76.82%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at UT San Antonio (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-21 | 7.48 | 6.35 | +1.13 | 76.73%
| 0 |
| Dec 15December 15 | vs Utah State (11-2, 7-1) * | L 13-52 | 4.19 | 6.70 | -2.51 | 4.89%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 5-3 | 6.21 | 5.32 | +0.887 | 8.63-4.37 (+0.37) | +5 |