| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs Louisiana Tech (8-5, 5-3) | L 26-30 | 4.67 | 5.71 | -1.05 | 24.93%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at #23 Oklahoma State (7-6, 3-6) | L 13-55 | 3.01 | 7.17 | -4.16 | 1.28%
| +2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs Texas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 41-31 | 6.37 | 4.43 | +1.94 | 89.99%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Memphis (8-6, 5-4) | L 35-52 | 6.87 | 7.41 | -0.54 | 36.47%
| -2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Appalachian State (11-2, 8-1) | L 7-52 | 4.53 | 7.83 | -3.30 | 2.77%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Georgia Southern (10-3, 6-2) | L 13-48 | 4.66 | 7.73 | -3.07 | 2.98%
| -4 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Alabama State (4-7, 3-4) | W 45-7 | 6.49 | 4.29 | +2.20 | 92.75%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 (Tue) | vs Troy (10-3, 7-1) | L 17-38 | 5.13 | 8.04 | -2.91 | 3.29%
| -1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | L 14-38 | 3.82 | 6.61 | -2.79 | 3.64%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Louisiana Monroe (6-6, 4-4) | L 10-38 | 4.04 | 7.76 | -3.72 | 2.55%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Louisiana (7-7, 5-4) | L 38-48 | 5.61 | 7.83 | -2.22 | 7.08%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 (Fri) | vs Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 31-28 | 8.33 | 6.11 | +2.22 | 92.93%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.28 | 6.69 | -1.411 | 3.61-8.39 (-0.61) | -4 |