| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Western Carolina (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-24 | 6.43 | 5.23 | +1.21 | 78.32%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at North Carolina (7-6, 4-4) | L 20-40 | 4.84 | 6.64 | -1.79 | 11.86%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Memphis (3-9, 1-7) | W 17-15 | 4.44 | 4.61 | -0.17 | 45.72%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Florida Atlantic (6-6, 4-4) | W 42-35 | 6.46 | 5.30 | +1.17 | 77.53%
| +3 |
| Sep 27September 27 (Fri) | at BYU (8-5) | L 10-37 | 2.83 | 6.57 | -3.74 | 2.53%
| +4 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs East Carolina (10-3, 6-2) | L 17-24 | 4.84 | 5.21 | -0.37 | 40.55%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at North Texas (9-4, 6-2) | L 7-34 | 3.60 | 5.20 | -1.60 | 14.65%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Thu) | vs Marshall (10-4, 7-2) | W 51-49 | 5.85 | 5.15 | +0.70 | 67.31%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at UAB (2-10, 1-7) | W 24-21 | 7.53 | 5.48 | +2.05 | 91.27%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Florida International (1-11, 1-7) | W 48-0 | 7.51 | 4.57 | +2.94 | 96.80%
| +3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Southern Mississippi (1-11, 1-7) | W 42-21 | 5.97 | 4.70 | +1.28 | 79.61%
| +2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs UTEP (2-10, 1-7) | W 48-17 | 8.39 | 4.98 | +3.40 | 97.28%
| 0 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Mon) | at Navy (9-4) * | L 6-24 | 5.15 | 5.20 | -0.05 | 48.64%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 5.70 | 5.31 | +0.394 | 7.52-5.48 (+0.48) | +12 |