| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs Jackson State (3-8, 3-6) | W 70-14 | 6.37 | 4.60 | +1.77 | 87.78%
| -1 |
| Sep 12September 12 | at #2 Alabama (14-1, 8-1) | L 10-37 | 3.72 | 6.49 | -2.77 | 3.69%
| -2 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs Charlotte (2-10, 0-8) | W 73-14 | 8.45 | 3.09 | +5.36 | 100.00%
| +5 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Illinois (5-7, 2-6) | L 25-27 | 4.60 | 4.30 | +0.30 | 57.68%
| -1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs Vanderbilt (4-8, 2-6) | L 13-17 | 4.32 | 5.75 | -1.43 | 17.61%
| +1 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at Western Kentucky (12-2, 9-0) | L 28-58 | 5.74 | 7.70 | -1.96 | 9.72%
| 0 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs Florida International (5-7, 3-5) | W 42-34 | 6.68 | 4.27 | +2.41 | 94.46%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Louisiana Tech (9-4, 6-2) | L 16-45 | 5.18 | 6.87 | -1.69 | 13.26%
| -3 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Marshall (10-3, 6-2) | W 27-24 | 6.44 | 4.95 | +1.49 | 83.47%
| -2 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 3-5) | W 24-17 | 6.22 | 4.87 | +1.35 | 81.04%
| -1 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs North Texas (1-11, 1-7) | W 41-7 | 6.18 | 4.84 | +1.34 | 80.80%
| +1 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at UT San Antonio (3-9, 3-5) | W 42-7 | 6.25 | 4.42 | +1.82 | 88.52%
| +1 |
| Dec 24December 24 (Thu) | at Western Michigan (8-5, 6-2) * | L 31-45 | 6.80 | 9.02 | -2.21 | 7.09%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 6-2 | 5.92 | 5.46 | +0.463 | 7.25-5.75 (-0.25) | -4 |