| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Thu) | at Vanderbilt (4-8, 2-6) | W 14-12 | 4.64 | 5.07 | -0.42 | 39.30%
| +3 |
| Sep 10September 10 (Thu) | vs Louisiana Tech (9-4, 6-2) | W 41-38 | 8.13 | 7.25 | +0.88 | 71.30%
| +1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Indiana (6-7, 2-6) | L 35-38 | 7.89 | 7.43 | +0.46 | 61.51%
| -1 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Miami (OH) (3-9, 2-6) | W 56-14 | 7.69 | 4.28 | +3.41 | 97.29%
| +4 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Rice (5-7, 3-5) | W 49-10 | 7.10 | 5.03 | +2.07 | 91.46%
| +5 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Middle Tennessee (7-6, 6-2) | W 58-28 | 7.70 | 5.74 | +1.96 | 90.27%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Thu) | at North Texas (1-11, 1-7) | W 55-28 | 8.23 | 6.16 | +2.07 | 91.51%
| +1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at #5 LSU (9-3, 5-3) | L 20-48 | 5.10 | 7.89 | -2.79 | 3.61%
| -2 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Old Dominion (5-7, 3-5) | W 55-30 | 8.72 | 4.82 | +3.90 | 97.74%
| +1 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 3-5) | W 35-19 | 7.91 | 5.05 | +2.86 | 96.58%
| -1 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at Florida International (5-7, 3-5) | W 63-7 | 8.22 | 2.71 | +5.51 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 27November 27 (Fri) | vs Marshall (10-3, 6-2) | W 49-28 | 6.58 | 4.14 | +2.44 | 94.68%
| +2 |
| Dec 5December 5 | vs Southern Mississippi (9-5, 7-2) | W 45-28 | 5.92 | 5.48 | +0.44 | 60.96%
| +3 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Mon) | at South Florida (8-5, 6-2) * | W 45-35 | 7.75 | 7.56 | +0.19 | 54.80%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 12-2, 9-0 | 7.23 | 5.69 | +1.542 | 10.51-3.49 (+1.49) | +14 |