| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at Vanderbilt (6-7, 3-5) | L 7-35 | 4.03 | 6.29 | -2.26 | 6.66%
| -2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs UT Martin (2-9, 2-6) | W 61-37 | 7.45 | 4.89 | +2.55 | 95.34%
| +1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at #3 Georgia (11-3, 7-2) | L 7-49 | 4.24 | 8.64 | -4.41 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | W 25-24 | 5.21 | 5.13 | +0.08 | 51.96%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Fri) | at Marshall (9-4, 6-2) | W 34-24 | 5.60 | 4.34 | +1.26 | 79.30%
| +2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Florida International (9-4, 6-2) | L 21-24 | 4.91 | 5.44 | -0.53 | 36.66%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Charlotte (5-7, 4-4) | W 21-13 | 2.77 | 4.54 | -1.78 | 12.11%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Old Dominion (4-8, 2-6) | W 51-17 | 6.87 | 7.43 | -0.56 | 36.10%
| +4 |
| Nov 2November 2 (Fri) | vs Western Kentucky (3-9, 2-6) | W 29-10 | 5.45 | 5.26 | +0.18 | 54.66%
| +2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at UTEP (1-11, 1-7) | W 48-32 | 6.46 | 4.90 | +1.56 | 84.69%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at #17 Kentucky (10-3, 5-3) | L 23-34 | 5.52 | 6.00 | -0.48 | 37.96%
| -2 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs UAB (11-3, 8-1) | W 27-3 | 6.16 | 1.68 | +4.48 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Dec 1December 1 | vs UAB (11-3, 8-1) | L 25-27 | 6.61 | 5.29 | +1.32 | 80.43%
| -1 |
| Dec 15December 15 | at Appalachian State (11-2, 8-1) * | L 13-45 | 5.44 | 7.47 | -2.02 | 9.02%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 7-2 | 5.52 | 5.45 | +0.065 | 6.85-7.15 (+1.15) | +4 |