| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at Liberty (6-6) | L 10-52 | 4.12 | 7.88 | -3.76 | 2.52%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Florida International (9-4, 6-2) | L 20-28 | 6.19 | 5.96 | +0.22 | 55.66%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 (Thu) | at Charlotte (5-7, 4-4) | L 25-28 | 6.04 | 4.66 | +1.37 | 81.43%
| -1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs #13 Virginia Tech (6-7, 4-4) | W 49-35 | 7.52 | 7.23 | +0.29 | 57.44%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at East Carolina (3-9, 1-7) | L 35-37 | 3.82 | 5.93 | -2.11 | 8.08%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | L 33-52 | 5.83 | 8.40 | -2.58 | 4.53%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Marshall (9-4, 6-2) | L 20-42 | 4.73 | 6.77 | -2.04 | 8.82%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Western Kentucky (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-34 | 6.77 | 6.03 | +0.75 | 68.40%
| -2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-6, 7-2) | L 17-51 | 7.43 | 6.87 | +0.56 | 63.86%
| -4 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs North Texas (9-4, 5-3) | W 34-31 | 4.66 | 4.82 | -0.15 | 46.05%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs VMI (1-10, 0-8) | W 77-14 | 6.13 | 4.24 | +1.90 | 89.49%
| +4 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Rice (2-11, 1-7) | L 13-27 | 4.86 | 6.29 | -1.43 | 17.61%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 2-6 | 5.67 | 6.24 | -0.574 | 5.04-6.96 (-1.04) | -6 |