| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #6 Florida State (9-4, 5-3) | L 0-34 | 3.53 | 6.00 | -2.48 | 5.11%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Grambling (8-4, 7-3) | W 35-7 | 5.46 | 3.55 | +1.91 | 89.65%
| -1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #23 TCU (11-2, 7-0) | L 17-38 | 4.87 | 6.32 | -1.46 | 17.09%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Iowa (7-6, 4-4) | L 17-45 | 4.97 | 6.76 | -1.79 | 11.93%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Arkansas State (10-3, 8-0) | L 19-24 | 4.25 | 5.07 | -0.82 | 29.82%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Troy (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-10 | 6.83 | 2.63 | +4.20 | 98.95%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at North Texas (5-7, 4-4) | L 21-38 | 5.47 | 6.58 | -1.11 | 23.59%
| -3 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Western Kentucky (7-5, 7-1) | L 28-31 | 5.54 | 4.49 | +1.05 | 75.02%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | L 35-36 | 5.66 | 6.25 | -0.59 | 35.24%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | W 42-14 | 6.21 | 4.82 | +1.38 | 81.61%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-28 | 4.11 | 4.72 | -0.61 | 34.74%
| -2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Florida Atlantic (1-11, 0-8) | W 26-0 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.18 | 5.26 | -0.086 | 5.03-5.97 (-1.03) | +1 |