| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs Southeastern Louisiana (4-7, 4-5) | W 34-31 | 5.77 | 6.72 | -0.95 | 26.96%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Southern Mississippi (6-5, 5-3) | W 21-20 | 6.10 | 5.45 | +0.65 | 66.20%
| +2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Texas A&M (9-4, 5-3) | L 10-48 | 5.75 | 7.36 | -1.61 | 14.60%
| -1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Troy (10-3, 7-1) | L 27-35 | 5.83 | 7.00 | -1.17 | 22.49%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Georgia State (2-10, 1-7) | L 14-46 | 4.85 | 6.58 | -1.73 | 12.76%
| -3 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Ole Miss (5-7, 1-7) | L 21-70 | 5.62 | 11.47 | -5.85 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 45-20 | 8.32 | 5.92 | +2.40 | 94.39%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Texas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 20-14 | 4.90 | 3.97 | +0.94 | 72.64%
| -2 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs Georgia Southern (10-3, 6-2) | W 44-25 | 8.95 | 3.54 | +5.41 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at South Alabama (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-10 | 7.76 | 4.04 | +3.72 | 97.45%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-31 | 5.11 | 6.12 | -1.01 | 25.72%
| -3 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Louisiana (7-7, 5-4) | L 28-31 | 5.83 | 6.47 | -0.64 | 34.06%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 4-4 | 6.21 | 6.32 | -0.103 | 5.67-6.33 (+0.33) | -12 |