| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State (9-4, 6-2) | W 48-21 | 8.67 | 4.83 | +3.84 | 97.62%
| -3 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at #1 Alabama (14-1, 9-0) | L 7-57 | 4.77 | 8.21 | -3.44 | 2.72%
| 0 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Tulsa (3-9, 2-6) | W 29-20 | 4.94 | 4.91 | +0.03 | 50.64%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs UNLV (4-8, 2-6) | W 27-20 | 6.29 | 4.76 | +1.53 | 84.12%
| +3 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Georgia Southern (10-3, 6-2) | L 21-28 | 5.67 | 7.87 | -2.20 | 7.23%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Tue) | vs Appalachian State (11-2, 8-1) | L 9-35 | 4.10 | 6.00 | -1.90 | 10.43%
| -3 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Thu) | vs Georgia State (2-10, 1-7) | W 51-35 | 8.15 | 5.55 | +2.60 | 95.60%
| +2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Louisiana (7-7, 5-4) | L 43-47 | 6.29 | 8.16 | -1.87 | 10.78%
| +1 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs South Alabama (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-14 | 6.61 | 3.82 | +2.79 | 96.37%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 44-16 | 7.83 | 4.31 | +3.52 | 97.32%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs Louisiana Monroe (6-6, 4-4) | W 31-17 | 6.12 | 5.11 | +1.01 | 74.25%
| +3 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Texas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 33-7 | 7.04 | 5.60 | +1.45 | 82.72%
| 0 |
| Dec 29December 29 | at Nevada (8-5, 5-3) * | L 13-16 | 5.37 | 3.85 | +1.51 | 83.88%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 6.20 | 5.58 | +0.613 | 7.94-5.06 (+0.06) | +4 |